The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development has lowered its forecast for Bulgaria’s GDP growth, because of the war in Ukraine. EBRD expects that Bulgaria’s gross domestic product will rise 2.8% in 2022, a downward revision of the 4.4% growth forecast made in November last year.
In 2023, EBRD projects the country’s GDP to increase with 3.6%. In 2021, Bulgaria’s economy grew 4.2%.
EBRD expects a slowdown in foreign direct investments in countries like Bulgaria and Romania, because of their proximity to Ukraine and particularly in the context of a militarization of the Black Sea, the report further reads.
Preliminary data from the National Statistical Institute (NSI) shows a 1.3% increase in employment from March to June 2025, reaching 2.38 million. The hotel and restaurant sector had the largest increase in employment (24.8%), followed by real estate..
The lack of sufficient manpower and strong private consumption are the main reasons for inflation, according to the second "Economic Review" of the Bulgarian National Bank (BNB) for the year. Annual inflation is 2.9%, increasing by 2.1% by May 2025..
After months of low inflation and even temporary deflation in April this year, according to official national statistics, the trend abruptly reversed. On July 15, literally days after Bulgaria received a green light from Brussels for..
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