The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has raised the forecast for Bulgaria’s economy growth in 2023, according to the institution's autumn report. In 2023, the Bulgarian GDP will be 1.7%, which is 0.3 percent more in comparison to estimates in the spring report. For 2024, the IMF expects the country's GDP to grow by 3.2 percent, instead of the 3.5 percent forecast in April. The inflation forecast is high. In 2023, it is expected hat inflation would reach 8.5 percent, as the forecast in the spring was 7.5 percent.
Bulgarian business is pessimistic about the prospects in 2024. A survey of the Bulgarian Industrial Capital Association among its members indicates that 80% expect sales to decrease or remain at the level of 2023. 43% expect lower financial income and just 25% are optimistic about better profits and are planning bigger investments. 4/5 of the surveyed entrepreneurs expect exports to decline or remain unchanged.
In its "Economic Freedom of the World, 2025" ranking , the Canadian Fraser Institute gives Bulgaria a score of 7.13 out of a maximum of 10 points. This places the country 56th out of 165. It ranks between Greece and Thailand. In 2024, Bulgaria was 52nd..
As of October 1, the base interest rate in Bulgaria is 1.81%. The rate has been declining for the 12th consecutive month, this time by 0.01% compared to September 2025. The base interest rate in Bulgaria, which is used to calculate the annual..
Bulgaria’s accession to the eurozone will reduce transaction costs with key trade and investment partners, according to the annual U.S. State Department report on the investment climate in the country, reported BGNES. The report emphasizes that..
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