The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has raised the forecast for Bulgaria’s economy growth in 2023, according to the institution's autumn report. In 2023, the Bulgarian GDP will be 1.7%, which is 0.3 percent more in comparison to estimates in the spring report. For 2024, the IMF expects the country's GDP to grow by 3.2 percent, instead of the 3.5 percent forecast in April. The inflation forecast is high. In 2023, it is expected hat inflation would reach 8.5 percent, as the forecast in the spring was 7.5 percent.
Bulgarian business is pessimistic about the prospects in 2024. A survey of the Bulgarian Industrial Capital Association among its members indicates that 80% expect sales to decrease or remain at the level of 2023. 43% expect lower financial income and just 25% are optimistic about better profits and are planning bigger investments. 4/5 of the surveyed entrepreneurs expect exports to decline or remain unchanged.
Natural gas prices are expected to fall by about 14% from current levels, Bulgargaz CEO Veselin Sinabov told a public meeting of the Energy and Water Regulatory Commission (EWRC). This means that one megawatt hour will cost 31.91 euro, compared to 36.88..
The Bulgarian National Bank (BNB) has revised upwards its expectations for Bulgarian economic growth in 2025 but lowered its GDP growth forecast for 2026, it transpired from the Bank's regular quarterly Macroeconomic Forecast. In its March..
Bulgaria’s debt for 2024 amounts to BGN 48.846 billion (EUR 24 billion), or 24.1% of the country’s GDP, preliminary data from the National Statistical Institute (NSI) show. In 2023, the country's debt was BGN 42.383 billion (EUR 20.8 billion), or..
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