Text size

Geopolitical uncertainty and reduced international demand are shrinking GDP

published on 1/26/24 12:01 PM

Photo: Archive

The real growth of the gross domestic product (GDP) in Bulgaria for 2023 will be 1.8% compared to 3.9% in 2022. The growth is mainly determined by an increase in private consumption and positive net exports. The change in inventories has a significant negative impact on economic activity. These are the expectations of the analysts from the Bulgarian National Bank (BNB), recorded in the latest quarterly publication "Macroeconomic Forecast".

Compared to the November forecast, the BNB expects a lower GDP growth in 2024 and 2025. At the time, the BNB expected Bulgaria's economic growth to be 1.9% in 2023, 2.7% in 2024, and 2025 – 3.6%.

Due to geopolitical uncertainty and an expected contraction in demand for Bulgarian goods and services, the January forecast is for GDP to grow to 2.5% in 2023 and to 3.4% in 2025.

Последвайте ни и в Google News Showcase, за да научите най-важното от деня!

Radio Bulgaria Economy BNB Bulgarian National Bank GDP gross domestic product macroeconomic forecast

More from category

Hope or fear: How Bulgarians view the introduction of the euro

The likelihood of Bulgaria joining the eurozone on 1 January 2026 is growing by the day. The country would become the 21st EU member to adopt the single currency. The signals are coming both from the Bulgarian government, which has repeatedly stated..

published on 5/7/25 1:26 PM

For another month, Bulgarian National Bank lowers the key interest rate in the country

The Bulgarian National Bank (BNB) has again reduced the key interest rate in the country . As of May 1, it will now be 2.24 percent. The decrease compared to April is 0.15%, when it was 2.39 percent. This is the eighth consecutive month of a decrease in..

published on 5/1/25 11:50 AM

Economy Minister Petar Dilov in parliament.

Bulgaria expects negative spillover effect from US tariffs

An analysis by the Ministry of Economy and Industry shows that in 2024, Bulgaria's trade with the United States accounted for 1.7% of the country’s total trade volume, with exports to the U.S. making up 2.6% of total exports and imports from the U.S...

published on 4/29/25 4:23 PM