Fitch Ratings has affirmed Bulgaria's long-term foreign-currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'BBB' with a positive outlook.
Bulgaria intends to request a reassessment of its progress on convergence criteria in 2H24, which should allow for eurozone entry later in 2025. In Fitch's view, Bulgaria could comply with the price stability criterion in 4Q24 at the earliest, conditional on inflation developments across the EU.
Bulgaria is on course to meet all other euro-adoption nominal criteria (public finances, interest rate and exchange rate). Nonetheless, a lack of stable government and potentially lengthy coalition negotiations could delay the eurozone entry beyond 2025. Overall, we consider euro adoption as supportive to the rating, Fitch writes.
The Agency expects average HICP to be 3.3% in 2024 and 2.9% in 2025, down from 8.6% in 2023. Fitch expects real GDP growth to accelerate to 2.4% in 2024 and further to 3.1% in 2025.
The likelihood of Bulgaria joining the eurozone on 1 January 2026 is growing by the day. The country would become the 21st EU member to adopt the single currency. The signals are coming both from the Bulgarian government, which has repeatedly stated..
The Bulgarian National Bank (BNB) has again reduced the key interest rate in the country . As of May 1, it will now be 2.24 percent. The decrease compared to April is 0.15%, when it was 2.39 percent. This is the eighth consecutive month of a decrease in..
An analysis by the Ministry of Economy and Industry shows that in 2024, Bulgaria's trade with the United States accounted for 1.7% of the country’s total trade volume, with exports to the U.S. making up 2.6% of total exports and imports from the U.S...
Bulgaria's main trading partners are Germany, Romania, Italy, Greece and France, which account for 62.5% of exports to EU Member..
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