Fitch Ratings has affirmed Bulgaria's Long-Term Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'BBB' with a Positive Outlook, reported BTA.
''Bulgaria's ratings are supported by its strong external and public finance balance sheets versus 'BBB' peers and credible policy framework, underpinned by EU membership and a long-standing currency board. This is balanced against low labour productivity and unfavourable demographics, which weigh on potential growth and government finances over the long term'', Fitch Ratings said.
The Positive Outlook reflects the prospects for euro adoption, which would lead to further improvement in external metrics, Fitch Ratings noted.
Fitch has revised its 2025 growth forecast up to 3.1%, from 2.5% expected in October 2024, due to the stronger carry-over effect and improved domestic political situation. Strong nominal wage growth will continue to support private consumption, the analysis further reads. The agency notes that it ''remains cautious about the capacity and pace of reform implementation, but EU funds flows should increase and will support investment activity''.
Bulgaria’s debt for 2024 amounts to BGN 48.846 billion (EUR 24 billion), or 24.1% of the country’s GDP, preliminary data from the National Statistical Institute (NSI) show. In 2023, the country's debt was BGN 42.383 billion (EUR 20.8 billion), or..
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