Fitch Ratings has raised the outlook on Bulgaria's Long-Term Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) from stable to positive. The current assessment stems from lower macroeconomic risks associated with the Covid-19 crisis, the continuing interest in joining the euro zone, as well as the support from EU funds.
In the coming years, Bulgaria is expected to be one of the main beneficiaries of EU financing, including 16.6 billion euros (27% of GDP in 2020) under the multi-annual financial framework (2021-2027) and 7.5 billion euros (12% of GDP for 2020) in the form of EU grants under the NGEU mechanism. According to Fitch Ratings, this would increase economic growth from projected 3% in 2021 to 4-5% in the period 2022-2025.
In the long run, however, Fitch also points out a number of unfavorable factors, including the demographic structure of the population.
The tariffs imposed on European goods by the Trump administration are expected to have both direct and indirect effects on Bulgarian exports. The Ministry of Economy and Industry has calculated the direct impact at €468 million, while..
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The demand for employees increased by 5% in August, or by over 1,700 more offers compared to July, one of the largest HR companies in Bulgaria reported to BTA. But on an annual basis there is a decline of 7% , or by 3,100 offers. The "Trade..
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